**Trader consensus centers on a 30–32°C range for Hong Kong’s September 6 maximum, led by 31°C at 41.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model output (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily maxima average around 30–31°C amid high humidity and modest diurnal ranges. Recent model runs show limited afternoon heating due to persistent cloud and rain chances, capping upside potential near 32°C while making sub-30°C outcomes less likely absent stronger onshore flow or heavier rain. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, fresh observational data from the Observatory’s network will determine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
31°C 42%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
26%
31°C
42%
32°C
23%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 42%
30°C 26%
32°C 23%
29°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$245 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$136 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$444 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,742 Обс.
8%
30°C
$655 Обс.
26%
31°C
$1,008 Обс.
42%
32°C
$1,838 Обс.
23%
33°C
$428 Обс.
5%
34°C
$368 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$828 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 30–32°C range for Hong Kong’s September 6 maximum, led by 31°C at 41.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model output (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily maxima average around 30–31°C amid high humidity and modest diurnal ranges. Recent model runs show limited afternoon heating due to persistent cloud and rain chances, capping upside potential near 32°C while making sub-30°C outcomes less likely absent stronger onshore flow or heavier rain. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, fresh observational data from the Observatory’s network will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,816Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 30–32°C range for Hong Kong’s September 6 maximum, led by 31°C at 41.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model output (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily maxima average around 30–31°C amid high humidity and modest diurnal ranges. Recent model runs show limited afternoon heating due to persistent cloud and rain chances, capping upside potential near 32°C while making sub-30°C outcomes less likely absent stronger onshore flow or heavier rain. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, fresh observational data from the Observatory’s network will determine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$7,816Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 30–32°C range for Hong Kong’s September 6 maximum, led by 31°C at 41.5% implied probability.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model output (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a high near 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and light northeasterly flow. This aligns with early-September climatology, where daily maxima average around 30–31°C amid high humidity and modest diurnal ranges. Recent model runs show limited afternoon heating due to persistent cloud and rain chances, capping upside potential near 32°C while making sub-30°C outcomes less likely absent stronger onshore flow or heavier rain. With resolution occurring within 24 hours, fresh observational data from the Observatory’s network will determine the exact peak.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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