Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F but cooler than the early-month heat wave exceeding 90°F. Trader consensus across bins reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding the strength and timing of this onshore flow from Lake Michigan, which can suppress minimum temperatures by 3–5°F near the lake versus inland sites. Key variables include potential revisions in steering patterns from upstream troughs and dew point trajectories that could either lock in mid-60s readings or allow clearer skies and radiational cooling toward the lower 50s. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads ahead of the date will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 7?
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 50%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
57°F or below
33%
58-59°F
49%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
50%
66-67°F
50%
68-69°F
49%
70-71°F
49%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
20%
76°F or higher
1%
64-65°F 50%
66-67°F 50%
58-59°F 49%
60-61°F 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 7, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Обс.
33%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
49%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
49%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
50%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
50%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
49%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
49%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
20%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
20%
76°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F but cooler than the early-month heat wave exceeding 90°F. Trader consensus across bins reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding the strength and timing of this onshore flow from Lake Michigan, which can suppress minimum temperatures by 3–5°F near the lake versus inland sites. Key variables include potential revisions in steering patterns from upstream troughs and dew point trajectories that could either lock in mid-60s readings or allow clearer skies and radiational cooling toward the lower 50s. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads ahead of the date will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F but cooler than the early-month heat wave exceeding 90°F. Trader consensus across bins reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding the strength and timing of this onshore flow from Lake Michigan, which can suppress minimum temperatures by 3–5°F near the lake versus inland sites. Key variables include potential revisions in steering patterns from upstream troughs and dew point trajectories that could either lock in mid-60s readings or allow clearer skies and radiational cooling toward the lower 50s. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads ahead of the date will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate a moderating trend for Chicago on September 7, with northeast winds and partly cloudy skies supporting overnight lows in the mid-60s, consistent with climatological averages near 62°F but cooler than the early-month heat wave exceeding 90°F. Trader consensus across bins reflects uncertainty in short-range model runs regarding the strength and timing of this onshore flow from Lake Michigan, which can suppress minimum temperatures by 3–5°F near the lake versus inland sites. Key variables include potential revisions in steering patterns from upstream troughs and dew point trajectories that could either lock in mid-60s readings or allow clearer skies and radiational cooling toward the lower 50s. Updated NWS guidance and ensemble spreads ahead of the date will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання