**Forecast models and real-time observations position 20–22°C as the most likely range for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 10, 2026.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon support efficient solar heating in early spring, when daytime insolation is increasing. Official and private forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Argentine outlets converge on highs of 18–20°C, consistent with recent observations of 17–19°C on preceding days and a monthly September normal near 15–17°C. Trader positioning favoring 21–22°C (combined ~76% implied probability) reflects expectations that localized clearing or slightly stronger insolation could push readings above model means, while the low odds on 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band typical for a stable, dry spring day. Updated afternoon observations and any late model runs will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
21°C 29%
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
20°C 11%
$18,546 Обс.
$18,546 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 29%
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
20°C 11%
$18,546 Обс.
$18,546 Обс.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
29%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
6%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations position 20–22°C as the most likely range for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on September 10, 2026.** Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover through the afternoon support efficient solar heating in early spring, when daytime insolation is increasing. Official and private forecasts from sources including the Met Office, Yr, and local Argentine outlets converge on highs of 18–20°C, consistent with recent observations of 17–19°C on preceding days and a monthly September normal near 15–17°C. Trader positioning favoring 21–22°C (combined ~76% implied probability) reflects expectations that localized clearing or slightly stronger insolation could push readings above model means, while the low odds on 23°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band typical for a stable, dry spring day. Updated afternoon observations and any late model runs will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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