Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including high humidity near 70–80%, afternoon cloud cover, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms, are suppressing peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. September climatology shows average daily highs near 33°C with frequent rain moderating extremes, and current model runs show limited disagreement on this range. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors heavily, with probabilities reflecting the balance between typical seasonal warmth and ongoing precipitation influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?
33°C 45%
34°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
45%
34°C
28%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 45%
34°C 28%
32°C 14%
35°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
$500 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$215 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$112 Обс.
1%
30°C
$105 Обс.
2%
31°C
$118 Обс.
5%
32°C
$548 Обс.
14%
33°C
$447 Обс.
45%
34°C
$1,341 Обс.
28%
35°C
$457 Обс.
10%
36°C
$86 Обс.
3%
37°C or higher
$179 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including high humidity near 70–80%, afternoon cloud cover, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms, are suppressing peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. September climatology shows average daily highs near 33°C with frequent rain moderating extremes, and current model runs show limited disagreement on this range. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors heavily, with probabilities reflecting the balance between typical seasonal warmth and ongoing precipitation influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,043Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including high humidity near 70–80%, afternoon cloud cover, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms, are suppressing peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. September climatology shows average daily highs near 33°C with frequent rain moderating extremes, and current model runs show limited disagreement on this range. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors heavily, with probabilities reflecting the balance between typical seasonal warmth and ongoing precipitation influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,043Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources like the India Meteorological Department and international models point to a maximum temperature of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 10, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Persistent southwest monsoon conditions, including high humidity near 70–80%, afternoon cloud cover, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms, are suppressing peak heating compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. September climatology shows average daily highs near 33°C with frequent rain moderating extremes, and current model runs show limited disagreement on this range. Traders appear to weight these near-term atmospheric factors heavily, with probabilities reflecting the balance between typical seasonal warmth and ongoing precipitation influences.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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