Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for Denver on September 11 indicates partly cloudy skies with an overnight low near 58–60°F, driven by a warm, dry air mass and limited cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–63°F bins because subtle differences in wind speed, dew point, and timing of any clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while the 35% implied probability on 53°F or below captures the chance of stronger surface cooling under calmer, clearer conditions. Historical September averages near 51°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors above-normal readings. Updated short-range model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Denver on September 11?
53°F or below 78%
54-55°F 39%
64-65°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
53°F or below
78%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72°F or higher
3%
53°F or below 78%
54-55°F 39%
64-65°F 39%
66-67°F 39%
53°F or below
78%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
23%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local model guidance for Denver on September 11 indicates partly cloudy skies with an overnight low near 58–60°F, driven by a warm, dry air mass and limited cloud cover that moderates radiational cooling. Trader sentiment clusters around the 56–63°F bins because subtle differences in wind speed, dew point, and timing of any clearing can shift the minimum by several degrees, while the 35% implied probability on 53°F or below captures the chance of stronger surface cooling under calmer, clearer conditions. Historical September averages near 51°F provide context, yet the current pattern favors above-normal readings. Updated short-range model runs and evening observations will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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