Latest forecast models from Singapore's Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for September 10, consistent with the 60.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent southwest monsoon winds, below-average rainfall, and typical September climatology—historical mean highs of 31.6°C—support this range while limiting upside to 33°C or higher, reflected in the secondary 22.5% odds. Recent dry conditions and occasional localized showers have kept temperatures from exceeding model guidance, with any haze-related radiative effects remaining minor. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour window will determine whether slight warming or increased cloud cover shifts the distribution toward 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Singapore on September 10?
32°C 60%
33°C 24%
31°C 15%
30°C 4%
$13,164 Обс.
$13,164 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
60%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 24%
31°C 15%
30°C 4%
$13,164 Обс.
$13,164 Обс.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
60%
33°C
24%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from Singapore's Meteorological Service and international agencies converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for September 10, consistent with the 60.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Persistent southwest monsoon winds, below-average rainfall, and typical September climatology—historical mean highs of 31.6°C—support this range while limiting upside to 33°C or higher, reflected in the secondary 22.5% odds. Recent dry conditions and occasional localized showers have kept temperatures from exceeding model guidance, with any haze-related radiative effects remaining minor. Updated runs ahead of the 24-hour window will determine whether slight warming or increased cloud cover shifts the distribution toward 31°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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