Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a partly cloudy day with highs projected near 90–92°F for Denver on September 11, supported by light northwest winds and minimal precipitation chances around 6–10%. This aligns with a warming trend from the prior day’s 90°F high amid above-average September temperatures, though model spreads and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 80.6°F provide context, but current conditions favor values in the upper 80s to low 90s. The closely matched market-implied odds across 86–95°F bins reflect genuine forecast variability in maximum temperature, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak observed at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Denver on September 11?
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
7%
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
5%
98°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a partly cloudy day with highs projected near 90–92°F for Denver on September 11, supported by light northwest winds and minimal precipitation chances around 6–10%. This aligns with a warming trend from the prior day’s 90°F high amid above-average September temperatures, though model spreads and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak daytime heating. Historical averages near 80.6°F provide context, but current conditions favor values in the upper 80s to low 90s. The closely matched market-implied odds across 86–95°F bins reflect genuine forecast variability in maximum temperature, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak observed at official stations. Updated model runs and NWS briefings ahead of the date will likely refine trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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