Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a highest temperature near 24–25°C in Qingdao on September 11, driven by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating along the Yellow Sea coast. Coastal sea-breeze effects and potential for partial clearing introduce modest upside risk, supporting the market’s concentration around 27–29°C outcomes amid model spread. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?
29°C 33%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
26°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
17%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
16%
29°C 33%
27°C 24%
30°C 19%
26°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$135 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
4%
26°C
$74 Обс.
17%
27°C
$0 Обс.
24%
28°C
$107 Обс.
17%
29°C
$0 Обс.
33%
30°C
$0 Обс.
19%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a highest temperature near 24–25°C in Qingdao on September 11, driven by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating along the Yellow Sea coast. Coastal sea-breeze effects and potential for partial clearing introduce modest upside risk, supporting the market’s concentration around 27–29°C outcomes amid model spread. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a highest temperature near 24–25°C in Qingdao on September 11, driven by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating along the Yellow Sea coast. Coastal sea-breeze effects and potential for partial clearing introduce modest upside risk, supporting the market’s concentration around 27–29°C outcomes amid model spread. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$567Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a highest temperature near 24–25°C in Qingdao on September 11, driven by northerly winds and increasing cloud cover that limit daytime heating along the Yellow Sea coast. Coastal sea-breeze effects and potential for partial clearing introduce modest upside risk, supporting the market’s concentration around 27–29°C outcomes amid model spread. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated runs from global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities before the market closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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