Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Milan on September 9 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow, capping daytime highs near 23–26°C after recent peaks above 32°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24°C (36.5% implied probability) and 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on limited insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official guidance highlights moderate rain chances exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the recent warm anomaly while remaining above seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional stations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
24°C 37%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
8%
23°C
28%
24°C
37%
25°C
18%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 37%
23°C 28%
25°C 18%
22°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
17°C or below
$205 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$115 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$79 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$27 Обс.
3%
21°C
$30 Обс.
6%
22°C
$23 Обс.
8%
23°C
$119 Обс.
28%
24°C
$107 Обс.
37%
25°C
$33 Обс.
18%
26°C
$26 Обс.
7%
27°C or higher
$175 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Milan on September 9 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow, capping daytime highs near 23–26°C after recent peaks above 32°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24°C (36.5% implied probability) and 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on limited insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official guidance highlights moderate rain chances exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the recent warm anomaly while remaining above seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional stations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$939Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Milan on September 9 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow, capping daytime highs near 23–26°C after recent peaks above 32°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24°C (36.5% implied probability) and 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on limited insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official guidance highlights moderate rain chances exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the recent warm anomaly while remaining above seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional stations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$939Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sharp cooldown in Milan on September 9 driven by increased cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and a shift to northerly flow, capping daytime highs near 23–26°C after recent peaks above 32°C. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24°C (36.5% implied probability) and 23–25°C outcomes, reflecting consensus on limited insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation. Official guidance highlights moderate rain chances exceeding 70% during peak heating hours, suppressing temperatures below the recent warm anomaly while remaining above seasonal norms of roughly 25°C. Updated model runs and next-day observational data from regional stations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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