Recent southeasterly flow following strong northerlies and heavy rain has introduced cooler maritime air to Wellington, moderating daytime maxima ahead of September 8. Official guidance from MetService and ensemble models points to partly cloudy conditions with highs most likely reaching 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 13 °C outcome at 48.5 % implied probability. Spring climatology shows typical September maxima near 14 °C, yet the post-frontal stabilization and light winds reduce the chance of brief warming spikes that would favor 14 °C or higher. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs over longer-range variability, with resolution depending on the precise afternoon peak recorded at the official station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
13°C 49%
14°C 28%
12°C 24%
11°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
4%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
10%
12°C
24%
13°C
49%
14°C
28%
15°C
9%
16°C
5%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
3%
13°C 49%
14°C 28%
12°C 24%
11°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
9°C
$0 Обс.
3%
10°C
$0 Обс.
5%
11°C
$0 Обс.
10%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$100 Обс.
49%
14°C
$56 Обс.
28%
15°C
$19 Обс.
9%
16°C
$11 Обс.
5%
17°C
$0 Обс.
3%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southeasterly flow following strong northerlies and heavy rain has introduced cooler maritime air to Wellington, moderating daytime maxima ahead of September 8. Official guidance from MetService and ensemble models points to partly cloudy conditions with highs most likely reaching 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 13 °C outcome at 48.5 % implied probability. Spring climatology shows typical September maxima near 14 °C, yet the post-frontal stabilization and light winds reduce the chance of brief warming spikes that would favor 14 °C or higher. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs over longer-range variability, with resolution depending on the precise afternoon peak recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$185Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southeasterly flow following strong northerlies and heavy rain has introduced cooler maritime air to Wellington, moderating daytime maxima ahead of September 8. Official guidance from MetService and ensemble models points to partly cloudy conditions with highs most likely reaching 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 13 °C outcome at 48.5 % implied probability. Spring climatology shows typical September maxima near 14 °C, yet the post-frontal stabilization and light winds reduce the chance of brief warming spikes that would favor 14 °C or higher. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs over longer-range variability, with resolution depending on the precise afternoon peak recorded at the official station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$185Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent southeasterly flow following strong northerlies and heavy rain has introduced cooler maritime air to Wellington, moderating daytime maxima ahead of September 8. Official guidance from MetService and ensemble models points to partly cloudy conditions with highs most likely reaching 12–13 °C, aligning with the market’s leading 13 °C outcome at 48.5 % implied probability. Spring climatology shows typical September maxima near 14 °C, yet the post-frontal stabilization and light winds reduce the chance of brief warming spikes that would favor 14 °C or higher. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs and historical analogs over longer-range variability, with resolution depending on the precise afternoon peak recorded at the official station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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