Recent forecast models for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a high near 22°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and elevated humidity typical of the region's wet season, which suppresses daytime heating through reduced solar radiation. This aligns with the 44% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 24°C, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloudiness or localized warming that could push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation forecasts favor the lower end of the distribution. Final official observations from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with any late model runs offering the next key update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 36%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
17%
24°C
36%
25°C or higher
45%
25°C or higher 45%
24°C 36%
23°C 17%
22°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
15°C or below
$125 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$125 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$56 Обс.
1%
20°C
$89 Обс.
2%
21°C
$354 Обс.
2%
22°C
$270 Обс.
5%
23°C
$569 Обс.
17%
24°C
$1,389 Обс.
36%
25°C or higher
$1,132 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a high near 22°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and elevated humidity typical of the region's wet season, which suppresses daytime heating through reduced solar radiation. This aligns with the 44% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 24°C, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloudiness or localized warming that could push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation forecasts favor the lower end of the distribution. Final official observations from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with any late model runs offering the next key update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,359Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a high near 22°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and elevated humidity typical of the region's wet season, which suppresses daytime heating through reduced solar radiation. This aligns with the 44% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 24°C, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloudiness or localized warming that could push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation forecasts favor the lower end of the distribution. Final official observations from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with any late model runs offering the next key update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,359Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models for Mexico City on September 9 indicate a high near 22°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and elevated humidity typical of the region's wet season, which suppresses daytime heating through reduced solar radiation. This aligns with the 44% market-implied probability for 25°C or higher and 35.5% for exactly 24°C, as traders weigh model consensus against potential breaks in cloudiness or localized warming that could push readings slightly higher. Historical September averages hover around 24°C, but current steering patterns and precipitation forecasts favor the lower end of the distribution. Final official observations from monitoring stations will resolve the market, with any late model runs offering the next key update.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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