Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal passage and clearing skies on September 9–10 that will determine Chicago’s overnight minimum. Post-storm radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions favors a low near 60–62 °F, close to the 1991–2020 average of 61 °F, while residual moisture or delayed clearing could keep readings several degrees warmer. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover creates roughly equal market-implied odds for sub-58 °F versus 76 °F-plus outcomes, reflecting the narrow margin between efficient nocturnal cooling and suppressed temperature drops. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 10?
57°F or below 98%
76°F or higher 98%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
57°F or below
98%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
39%
62-63°F
20%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76°F or higher
98%
57°F or below 98%
76°F or higher 98%
58-59°F 39%
60-61°F 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Обс.
98%
58-59°F
$0 Обс.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Обс.
39%
62-63°F
$0 Обс.
20%
64-65°F
$0 Обс.
21%
66-67°F
$0 Обс.
21%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
39%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
39%
76°F or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal passage and clearing skies on September 9–10 that will determine Chicago’s overnight minimum. Post-storm radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions favors a low near 60–62 °F, close to the 1991–2020 average of 61 °F, while residual moisture or delayed clearing could keep readings several degrees warmer. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover creates roughly equal market-implied odds for sub-58 °F versus 76 °F-plus outcomes, reflecting the narrow margin between efficient nocturnal cooling and suppressed temperature drops. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal passage and clearing skies on September 9–10 that will determine Chicago’s overnight minimum. Post-storm radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions favors a low near 60–62 °F, close to the 1991–2020 average of 61 °F, while residual moisture or delayed clearing could keep readings several degrees warmer. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover creates roughly equal market-implied odds for sub-58 °F versus 76 °F-plus outcomes, reflecting the narrow margin between efficient nocturnal cooling and suppressed temperature drops. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a frontal passage and clearing skies on September 9–10 that will determine Chicago’s overnight minimum. Post-storm radiational cooling under mostly clear conditions favors a low near 60–62 °F, close to the 1991–2020 average of 61 °F, while residual moisture or delayed clearing could keep readings several degrees warmer. Ensemble spread in boundary-layer wind and cloud cover creates roughly equal market-implied odds for sub-58 °F versus 76 °F-plus outcomes, reflecting the narrow margin between efficient nocturnal cooling and suppressed temperature drops. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will narrow this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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