Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum of 29–30°C on September 8, with trader consensus split closely between these outcomes amid variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Current conditions feature light rain or showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies, which could suppress peak heating if precipitation lingers into midday or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation. Historical September baselines place typical highs near 28–30°C, and the tight market reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity per ECMWF and regional guidance. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze effects and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
30°C 42%
29°C 36%
28°C 9%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
6%
28°C
9%
29°C
36%
30°C
42%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 42%
29°C 36%
28°C 9%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
24°C or below
$100 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
6%
28°C
$7 Обс.
9%
29°C
$5 Обс.
36%
30°C
$42 Обс.
42%
31°C
$5 Обс.
9%
32°C
$8 Обс.
2%
33°C
$0 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$100 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum of 29–30°C on September 8, with trader consensus split closely between these outcomes amid variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Current conditions feature light rain or showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies, which could suppress peak heating if precipitation lingers into midday or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation. Historical September baselines place typical highs near 28–30°C, and the tight market reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity per ECMWF and regional guidance. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze effects and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$267Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum of 29–30°C on September 8, with trader consensus split closely between these outcomes amid variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Current conditions feature light rain or showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies, which could suppress peak heating if precipitation lingers into midday or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation. Historical September baselines place typical highs near 28–30°C, and the tight market reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity per ECMWF and regional guidance. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze effects and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$267Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai will likely see a daily maximum of 29–30°C on September 8, with trader consensus split closely between these outcomes amid variable northerly winds and partial cloud cover. Current conditions feature light rain or showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies, which could suppress peak heating if precipitation lingers into midday or allow brief clearing for stronger insolation. Historical September baselines place typical highs near 28–30°C, and the tight market reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity per ECMWF and regional guidance. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as land-sea breeze effects and boundary-layer moisture evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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