Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official updates as of early September 2026, indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 8 most likely between 30–32°C. This range aligns with climatological norms for early post-monsoon conditions, where Arabian Sea moderation and typical southwest monsoon flow keep daytime maxima in the low 30s°C rather than the hotter pre-monsoon peaks. Partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwest winds, and low precipitation probabilities (under 20% in many runs) support limited daytime heating, with model consensus centering near 31°C. Traders appear to weight this consensus heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 31°C while distributing remaining odds across the adjacent 30°C and 32°C thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and cloud cover evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 8?
31°C 46%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
28°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
10%
30°C
21%
31°C
46%
32°C
23%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 46%
32°C 23%
30°C 21%
28°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
4%
28°C
$0 Обс.
19%
29°C
$9 Обс.
10%
30°C
$9 Обс.
21%
31°C
$13 Обс.
46%
32°C
$0 Обс.
23%
33°C
$6 Обс.
14%
34°C
$5 Обс.
4%
35°C
$0 Обс.
3%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official updates as of early September 2026, indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 8 most likely between 30–32°C. This range aligns with climatological norms for early post-monsoon conditions, where Arabian Sea moderation and typical southwest monsoon flow keep daytime maxima in the low 30s°C rather than the hotter pre-monsoon peaks. Partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwest winds, and low precipitation probabilities (under 20% in many runs) support limited daytime heating, with model consensus centering near 31°C. Traders appear to weight this consensus heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 31°C while distributing remaining odds across the adjacent 30°C and 32°C thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and cloud cover evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official updates as of early September 2026, indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 8 most likely between 30–32°C. This range aligns with climatological norms for early post-monsoon conditions, where Arabian Sea moderation and typical southwest monsoon flow keep daytime maxima in the low 30s°C rather than the hotter pre-monsoon peaks. Partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwest winds, and low precipitation probabilities (under 20% in many runs) support limited daytime heating, with model consensus centering near 31°C. Traders appear to weight this consensus heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 31°C while distributing remaining odds across the adjacent 30°C and 32°C thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and cloud cover evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$42Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official updates as of early September 2026, indicate a highest temperature in Karachi on September 8 most likely between 30–32°C. This range aligns with climatological norms for early post-monsoon conditions, where Arabian Sea moderation and typical southwest monsoon flow keep daytime maxima in the low 30s°C rather than the hotter pre-monsoon peaks. Partly cloudy skies, light to moderate southwest winds, and low precipitation probabilities (under 20% in many runs) support limited daytime heating, with model consensus centering near 31°C. Traders appear to weight this consensus heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 31°C while distributing remaining odds across the adjacent 30°C and 32°C thresholds. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities as steering patterns and cloud cover evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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