Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a September 10 high of 31–33 °C in Guangzhou, driven by northeast winds of 4–8 m/s, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of afternoon showers that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 32.4 °C climatological average and follows September 9 readings near 33–35 °C under clearer skies. Trader emphasis on the 33 °C outcome reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and low likelihood of significant deviation without an unexpected shift in steering flow or convective timing. Updated model runs and station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
33°C 54%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
54%
34°C
20%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 54%
32°C 20%
34°C 20%
31°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
27°C or below
$241 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$460 Обс.
1%
29°C
$141 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,144 Обс.
2%
31°C
$282 Обс.
4%
32°C
$537 Обс.
20%
33°C
$650 Обс.
54%
34°C
$1,325 Обс.
20%
35°C
$1,069 Обс.
2%
36°C
$254 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$228 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a September 10 high of 31–33 °C in Guangzhou, driven by northeast winds of 4–8 m/s, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of afternoon showers that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 32.4 °C climatological average and follows September 9 readings near 33–35 °C under clearer skies. Trader emphasis on the 33 °C outcome reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and low likelihood of significant deviation without an unexpected shift in steering flow or convective timing. Updated model runs and station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,301Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a September 10 high of 31–33 °C in Guangzhou, driven by northeast winds of 4–8 m/s, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of afternoon showers that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 32.4 °C climatological average and follows September 9 readings near 33–35 °C under clearer skies. Trader emphasis on the 33 °C outcome reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and low likelihood of significant deviation without an unexpected shift in steering flow or convective timing. Updated model runs and station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,301Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF point to a September 10 high of 31–33 °C in Guangzhou, driven by northeast winds of 4–8 m/s, increasing cloud cover, and a 40–65 % chance of afternoon showers that limit afternoon heating. This aligns with the 32.4 °C climatological average and follows September 9 readings near 33–35 °C under clearer skies. Trader emphasis on the 33 °C outcome reflects the narrow spread in official guidance and low likelihood of significant deviation without an unexpected shift in steering flow or convective timing. Updated model runs and station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання