Recent model consensus points to a moderating northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on September 9 after today's 33–36 °C readings. Official forecasts cluster between 28–31 °C, with AccuWeather, PredictWind, and local agencies indicating a high near 28–30 °C amid 17–21 km/h winds and dew points dropping into the low 20s °C. This setup favors a narrow range around 27–29 °C, where small differences in daytime mixing, cloud timing, or urban heat island effects at the official station can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28 °C, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend while acknowledging residual spread in boundary-layer conditions. Updated CMA guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will refine the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 9?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 9?
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 24%
26°C or below 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
11%
27°C
24%
28°C
33%
29°C
24%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 24%
27°C 24%
26°C or below 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
26°C or below
$942 Обс.
11%
27°C
$778 Обс.
24%
28°C
$284 Обс.
33%
29°C
$397 Обс.
24%
30°C
$1,094 Обс.
7%
31°C
$731 Обс.
2%
32°C
$357 Обс.
1%
33°C
$145 Обс.
1%
34°C
$336 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$240 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$240 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a moderating northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on September 9 after today's 33–36 °C readings. Official forecasts cluster between 28–31 °C, with AccuWeather, PredictWind, and local agencies indicating a high near 28–30 °C amid 17–21 km/h winds and dew points dropping into the low 20s °C. This setup favors a narrow range around 27–29 °C, where small differences in daytime mixing, cloud timing, or urban heat island effects at the official station can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28 °C, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend while acknowledging residual spread in boundary-layer conditions. Updated CMA guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,543Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a moderating northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on September 9 after today's 33–36 °C readings. Official forecasts cluster between 28–31 °C, with AccuWeather, PredictWind, and local agencies indicating a high near 28–30 °C amid 17–21 km/h winds and dew points dropping into the low 20s °C. This setup favors a narrow range around 27–29 °C, where small differences in daytime mixing, cloud timing, or urban heat island effects at the official station can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28 °C, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend while acknowledging residual spread in boundary-layer conditions. Updated CMA guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,543Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a moderating northeasterly flow and increased cloud cover moderating peak temperatures in Wuhan on September 9 after today's 33–36 °C readings. Official forecasts cluster between 28–31 °C, with AccuWeather, PredictWind, and local agencies indicating a high near 28–30 °C amid 17–21 km/h winds and dew points dropping into the low 20s °C. This setup favors a narrow range around 27–29 °C, where small differences in daytime mixing, cloud timing, or urban heat island effects at the official station can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 28 °C, reflecting tight model agreement on the cooling trend while acknowledging residual spread in boundary-layer conditions. Updated CMA guidance and hourly observations tomorrow will refine the outcome before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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