Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 10 high will likely peak near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima below the long-term September average of roughly 31°C, while southwesterly winds and moisture from the Philippine Sea sustain muggy conditions. Model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to 28–29°C before showers intensify, with slight variations in timing or intensity of convection creating the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Historical analogs confirm that September highs in this range occur frequently when rainfall exceeds 10 mm, as expected here. Updated guidance from agencies like PAGASA on the morning of the 10th will refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on September 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
6%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
22%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 28%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
25°C
$0 Обс.
2%
26°C
$229 Обс.
5%
27°C
$2 Обс.
6%
28°C
$0 Обс.
19%
29°C
$0 Обс.
28%
30°C
$8 Обс.
22%
31°C
$528 Обс.
13%
32°C
$70 Обс.
3%
33°C
$61 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$175 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 10 high will likely peak near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima below the long-term September average of roughly 31°C, while southwesterly winds and moisture from the Philippine Sea sustain muggy conditions. Model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to 28–29°C before showers intensify, with slight variations in timing or intensity of convection creating the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Historical analogs confirm that September highs in this range occur frequently when rainfall exceeds 10 mm, as expected here. Updated guidance from agencies like PAGASA on the morning of the 10th will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,073Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 10 high will likely peak near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima below the long-term September average of roughly 31°C, while southwesterly winds and moisture from the Philippine Sea sustain muggy conditions. Model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to 28–29°C before showers intensify, with slight variations in timing or intensity of convection creating the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Historical analogs confirm that September highs in this range occur frequently when rainfall exceeds 10 mm, as expected here. Updated guidance from agencies like PAGASA on the morning of the 10th will refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,073Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 10 high will likely peak near 28–30°C amid widespread thunderstorms and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon. Persistent cloud cover and convective rainfall limit solar heating, keeping daytime maxima below the long-term September average of roughly 31°C, while southwesterly winds and moisture from the Philippine Sea sustain muggy conditions. Model consensus shows afternoon temperatures climbing to 28–29°C before showers intensify, with slight variations in timing or intensity of convection creating the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Historical analogs confirm that September highs in this range occur frequently when rainfall exceeds 10 mm, as expected here. Updated guidance from agencies like PAGASA on the morning of the 10th will refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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