Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 10 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered storms, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling, consistent with the seasonal average minimum of 24.6°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 39.5% implied probability appears driven by model variability and recent precipitation patterns that can produce localized cooling, while higher bins (25°C at 26%, 24°C at 23%) reflect consensus around typical late-summer values. Historical extremes, including the 19.4°C record from 2006, underscore the tail risk priced into lower thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and short-term ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?
19°C or below 77%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
26°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
77%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
21%
24°C
23%
25°C
26%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
15%
19°C or below 77%
25°C 26%
24°C 23%
26°C 23%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$126 Обс.
77%
20°C
$134 Обс.
14%
21°C
$354 Обс.
8%
22°C
$60 Обс.
16%
23°C
$0 Обс.
21%
24°C
$0 Обс.
23%
25°C
$24 Обс.
26%
26°C
$0 Обс.
23%
27°C
$0 Обс.
18%
28°C
$38 Обс.
8%
29°C or higher
$110 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 10 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered storms, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling, consistent with the seasonal average minimum of 24.6°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 39.5% implied probability appears driven by model variability and recent precipitation patterns that can produce localized cooling, while higher bins (25°C at 26%, 24°C at 23%) reflect consensus around typical late-summer values. Historical extremes, including the 19.4°C record from 2006, underscore the tail risk priced into lower thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and short-term ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$846Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 10 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered storms, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling, consistent with the seasonal average minimum of 24.6°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 39.5% implied probability appears driven by model variability and recent precipitation patterns that can produce localized cooling, while higher bins (25°C at 26%, 24°C at 23%) reflect consensus around typical late-summer values. Historical extremes, including the 19.4°C record from 2006, underscore the tail risk priced into lower thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and short-term ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$846Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Guangzhou on September 10 point to overnight lows near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies, scattered storms, and northeasterly flow that limits radiative cooling, consistent with the seasonal average minimum of 24.6°C. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 39.5% implied probability appears driven by model variability and recent precipitation patterns that can produce localized cooling, while higher bins (25°C at 26%, 24°C at 23%) reflect consensus around typical late-summer values. Historical extremes, including the 19.4°C record from 2006, underscore the tail risk priced into lower thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and short-term ensemble runs will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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