**Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 9, 2026, with 26°C and 27°C each near 50% implied probability.** Recent model runs from regional forecasts show a typical late-summer subtropical pattern dominated by warm, moist air under weak steering flow, yielding afternoon highs near 33°C and overnight lows moderated by high humidity (70–85%) and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms or drizzle, noted in several guidance products, could locally enhance cooling through evaporative effects or brief clear spells, creating the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, yet current observations and ensemble spreads indicate conditions slightly above normal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any nocturnal convection before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
-
25°C
47%
26°C
50%
27°C
50%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 47%
23°C 9%
21°C 3%
20°C or below 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
20°C or below
$180 Обс.
1%
21°C
$80 Обс.
3%
22°C
$114 Обс.
1%
23°C
$30 Обс.
9%
24°C
$89 Обс.
-
25°C
$16 Обс.
47%
26°C
$36 Обс.
50%
27°C
$25 Обс.
50%
28°C
$130 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$154 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$193 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 9, 2026, with 26°C and 27°C each near 50% implied probability.** Recent model runs from regional forecasts show a typical late-summer subtropical pattern dominated by warm, moist air under weak steering flow, yielding afternoon highs near 33°C and overnight lows moderated by high humidity (70–85%) and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms or drizzle, noted in several guidance products, could locally enhance cooling through evaporative effects or brief clear spells, creating the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, yet current observations and ensemble spreads indicate conditions slightly above normal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any nocturnal convection before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,046Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 9, 2026, with 26°C and 27°C each near 50% implied probability.** Recent model runs from regional forecasts show a typical late-summer subtropical pattern dominated by warm, moist air under weak steering flow, yielding afternoon highs near 33°C and overnight lows moderated by high humidity (70–85%) and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms or drizzle, noted in several guidance products, could locally enhance cooling through evaporative effects or brief clear spells, creating the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, yet current observations and ensemble spreads indicate conditions slightly above normal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any nocturnal convection before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,046Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 25–27°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 9, 2026, with 26°C and 27°C each near 50% implied probability.** Recent model runs from regional forecasts show a typical late-summer subtropical pattern dominated by warm, moist air under weak steering flow, yielding afternoon highs near 33°C and overnight lows moderated by high humidity (70–85%) and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Scattered thunderstorms or drizzle, noted in several guidance products, could locally enhance cooling through evaporative effects or brief clear spells, creating the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Historical September 9 averages near 24.6°C provide context, yet current observations and ensemble spreads indicate conditions slightly above normal, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of any nocturnal convection before midnight local time.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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