Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 11 point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C under northerly winds and clearing skies after recent showers, consistent with early-autumn subtropical norms where historical lows average about 25°C. A strengthening El Niño event is contributing to above-average warmth across southern China this season, though localized factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels, and exact frontal timing can shift overnight cooling by several degrees. Market-implied odds near 47% for 29°C or higher versus 44% for 19°C or below reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer conditions rather than a shift in the broader seasonal outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?
19°C or below 89%
29°C or higher 83%
26°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
89%
20°C
39%
21°C
21%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
27%
25°C
22%
26°C
40%
27°C
40%
28°C
40%
29°C or higher
83%
19°C or below 89%
29°C or higher 83%
26°C 40%
27°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
89%
20°C
$0 Обс.
39%
21°C
$0 Обс.
21%
22°C
$0 Обс.
21%
23°C
$0 Обс.
22%
24°C
$0 Обс.
27%
25°C
$0 Обс.
22%
26°C
$0 Обс.
40%
27°C
$0 Обс.
40%
28°C
$0 Обс.
40%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 11 point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C under northerly winds and clearing skies after recent showers, consistent with early-autumn subtropical norms where historical lows average about 25°C. A strengthening El Niño event is contributing to above-average warmth across southern China this season, though localized factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels, and exact frontal timing can shift overnight cooling by several degrees. Market-implied odds near 47% for 29°C or higher versus 44% for 19°C or below reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer conditions rather than a shift in the broader seasonal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 11 point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C under northerly winds and clearing skies after recent showers, consistent with early-autumn subtropical norms where historical lows average about 25°C. A strengthening El Niño event is contributing to above-average warmth across southern China this season, though localized factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels, and exact frontal timing can shift overnight cooling by several degrees. Market-implied odds near 47% for 29°C or higher versus 44% for 19°C or below reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer conditions rather than a shift in the broader seasonal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Guangzhou on September 11 point to a daily minimum near 23–25°C under northerly winds and clearing skies after recent showers, consistent with early-autumn subtropical norms where historical lows average about 25°C. A strengthening El Niño event is contributing to above-average warmth across southern China this season, though localized factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels, and exact frontal timing can shift overnight cooling by several degrees. Market-implied odds near 47% for 29°C or higher versus 44% for 19°C or below reflect genuine short-range model uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer conditions rather than a shift in the broader seasonal outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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