**Trader consensus has locked onto the 82-83°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability following the official National Weather Service observation of a 82°F daily high at Central Park on September 9, 2026.** This reading comes directly from the preliminary local climatological data (CF6NYC) issued by NWS New York, which serves as the authoritative source for such markets and aligns with nearby station reports showing highs in the low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The value sits modestly above the 1991-2020 September 9 average high of 78.8°F but well below historical extremes like the 94°F record from 1915, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. With the observation date now passed, resolution hinges on this verified measurement rather than models or forecasts; only a rare post-hoc data revision or station-specific discrepancy would alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 9?
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$63,676 Обс.
$63,676 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$63,676 Обс.
$63,676 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
$450 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$439 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,500 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$6,425 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$17,798 Обс.
100%
84-85°F
$18,619 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$10,189 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,815 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,406 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,049 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$987 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto the 82-83°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability following the official National Weather Service observation of a 82°F daily high at Central Park on September 9, 2026.** This reading comes directly from the preliminary local climatological data (CF6NYC) issued by NWS New York, which serves as the authoritative source for such markets and aligns with nearby station reports showing highs in the low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The value sits modestly above the 1991-2020 September 9 average high of 78.8°F but well below historical extremes like the 94°F record from 1915, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. With the observation date now passed, resolution hinges on this verified measurement rather than models or forecasts; only a rare post-hoc data revision or station-specific discrepancy would alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$63,676Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto the 82-83°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability following the official National Weather Service observation of a 82°F daily high at Central Park on September 9, 2026.** This reading comes directly from the preliminary local climatological data (CF6NYC) issued by NWS New York, which serves as the authoritative source for such markets and aligns with nearby station reports showing highs in the low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The value sits modestly above the 1991-2020 September 9 average high of 78.8°F but well below historical extremes like the 94°F record from 1915, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. With the observation date now passed, resolution hinges on this verified measurement rather than models or forecasts; only a rare post-hoc data revision or station-specific discrepancy would alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$63,676Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has locked onto the 82-83°F bin at essentially 100% implied probability following the official National Weather Service observation of a 82°F daily high at Central Park on September 9, 2026.** This reading comes directly from the preliminary local climatological data (CF6NYC) issued by NWS New York, which serves as the authoritative source for such markets and aligns with nearby station reports showing highs in the low 80s under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. The value sits modestly above the 1991-2020 September 9 average high of 78.8°F but well below historical extremes like the 94°F record from 1915, reflecting typical late-summer conditions without significant heat advection or blocking patterns. With the observation date now passed, resolution hinges on this verified measurement rather than models or forecasts; only a rare post-hoc data revision or station-specific discrepancy would alter the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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