**Persistent upper-level ridging over the Southern Plains continues to drive above-normal heat across North Texas, supporting trader consensus around 98–101°F for Dallas’s September 9 high.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a sunny Wednesday with a high near 101°F and heat indices to 104°F, consistent with recent observations of 100–102°F daily maxima under south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This setup reflects strong model agreement on subsidence and downslope warming, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or dewpoint trends create the tight spread between the 51% implied probability for 98–99°F and 44.5% for 100–101°F. With September climatological normals near 91–92°F and no significant frontal passage or moisture surge expected before resolution, the market reflects uncertainty primarily in the precise peak rather than broader regime shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 9?
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 3%
94-95°F 2%
НОВЕ
$19,474 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,474 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
51%
100-101°F
46%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 51%
100-101°F 46%
102-103°F 3%
94-95°F 2%
НОВЕ
$19,474 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,474 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
89°F or below
$447 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$325 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$994 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,145 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$1,750 Обс.
2%
98-99°F
$6,794 Обс.
51%
100-101°F
$4,165 Обс.
46%
102-103°F
$1,553 Обс.
3%
104-105°F
$778 Обс.
<1%
106-107°F
$1,304 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$219 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging over the Southern Plains continues to drive above-normal heat across North Texas, supporting trader consensus around 98–101°F for Dallas’s September 9 high.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a sunny Wednesday with a high near 101°F and heat indices to 104°F, consistent with recent observations of 100–102°F daily maxima under south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This setup reflects strong model agreement on subsidence and downslope warming, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or dewpoint trends create the tight spread between the 51% implied probability for 98–99°F and 44.5% for 100–101°F. With September climatological normals near 91–92°F and no significant frontal passage or moisture surge expected before resolution, the market reflects uncertainty primarily in the precise peak rather than broader regime shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,474Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent upper-level ridging over the Southern Plains continues to drive above-normal heat across North Texas, supporting trader consensus around 98–101°F for Dallas’s September 9 high.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a sunny Wednesday with a high near 101°F and heat indices to 104°F, consistent with recent observations of 100–102°F daily maxima under south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This setup reflects strong model agreement on subsidence and downslope warming, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or dewpoint trends create the tight spread between the 51% implied probability for 98–99°F and 44.5% for 100–101°F. With September climatological normals near 91–92°F and no significant frontal passage or moisture surge expected before resolution, the market reflects uncertainty primarily in the precise peak rather than broader regime shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,474Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent upper-level ridging over the Southern Plains continues to drive above-normal heat across North Texas, supporting trader consensus around 98–101°F for Dallas’s September 9 high.** National Weather Service forecasts from the Dallas/Fort Worth office project a sunny Wednesday with a high near 101°F and heat indices to 104°F, consistent with recent observations of 100–102°F daily maxima under south-southeast winds of 5–10 mph and minimal cloud cover. This setup reflects strong model agreement on subsidence and downslope warming, though subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing or dewpoint trends create the tight spread between the 51% implied probability for 98–99°F and 44.5% for 100–101°F. With September climatological normals near 91–92°F and no significant frontal passage or moisture surge expected before resolution, the market reflects uncertainty primarily in the precise peak rather than broader regime shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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