Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 8 will likely settle near 13–15 °C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity limit heat loss compared to clear, dry nights, while weak steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–15 °C captures this narrow range of model guidance, with small shifts in predicted dew points or wind speed able to tip the minimum by 1 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 8?
17°C 47%
14°C 37%
13°C 31%
15°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
13%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
24%
13°C
31%
14°C
37%
15°C
27%
16°C
25%
17°C
47%
18°C or higher
7%
17°C 47%
14°C 37%
13°C 31%
15°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 8, 2026
8°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
9°C
$12 Обс.
13%
10°C
$0 Обс.
20%
11°C
$0 Обс.
24%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$16 Обс.
31%
14°C
$0 Обс.
37%
15°C
$0 Обс.
27%
16°C
$0 Обс.
25%
17°C
$15 Обс.
47%
18°C or higher
$12 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 8 will likely settle near 13–15 °C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity limit heat loss compared to clear, dry nights, while weak steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–15 °C captures this narrow range of model guidance, with small shifts in predicted dew points or wind speed able to tip the minimum by 1 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$68Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 8 will likely settle near 13–15 °C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity limit heat loss compared to clear, dry nights, while weak steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–15 °C captures this narrow range of model guidance, with small shifts in predicted dew points or wind speed able to tip the minimum by 1 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$68Дата завершення
Sep 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 8 will likely settle near 13–15 °C, reflecting the city's 2,240 m elevation that promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with light winds and scattered showers. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity limit heat loss compared to clear, dry nights, while weak steering patterns keep cooler air masses at bay. The tight clustering of market odds around 13–15 °C captures this narrow range of model guidance, with small shifts in predicted dew points or wind speed able to tip the minimum by 1 °C. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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