Trader consensus in the Lucknow temperature market centers on 31–33°C for September 11, reflecting widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppresses peak heating. Official IMD guidance and recent model consensus point to generally cloudy skies with thundery development, high humidity near 80%, and rainfall probabilities exceeding 80% on the day, consistent with observed conditions through September 9–10 where highs reached 34–35°C before cooling under increased moisture. These factors limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima well below dry-season norms. Updated IMD briefings and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as steering patterns and moisture influx evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 11?
32°C 37%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
16%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 37%
33°C 30%
31°C 16%
30°C 13%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
16%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Lucknow temperature market centers on 31–33°C for September 11, reflecting widespread monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that suppresses peak heating. Official IMD guidance and recent model consensus point to generally cloudy skies with thundery development, high humidity near 80%, and rainfall probabilities exceeding 80% on the day, consistent with observed conditions through September 9–10 where highs reached 34–35°C before cooling under increased moisture. These factors limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daily maxima well below dry-season norms. Updated IMD briefings and global model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact threshold as steering patterns and moisture influx evolve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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