Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, driven by persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow that limit daytime solar heating under stable early-autumn conditions. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C, reflecting suppressed insolation rather than unusual cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 18°C and 19°C because recent model runs show only minor variability in afternoon peaks, with low precipitation chances and no strong warm-sector advection expected. Official observations through midday align with this range, leaving little room for outliers above 20°C or below 17°C unless unexpected clearing develops before peak heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?
18°C 67%
19°C 33%
20°C 3%
22°C <1%
$48,446 Обс.
$48,446 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
67%
19°C
33%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 67%
19°C 33%
20°C 3%
22°C <1%
$48,446 Обс.
$48,446 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
13°C or below
$1,260 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$1,722 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$287 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$1,937 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$8,106 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$8,202 Обс.
67%
19°C
$10,643 Обс.
33%
20°C
$8,169 Обс.
3%
21°C
$4,599 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,825 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$1,696 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, driven by persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow that limit daytime solar heating under stable early-autumn conditions. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C, reflecting suppressed insolation rather than unusual cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 18°C and 19°C because recent model runs show only minor variability in afternoon peaks, with low precipitation chances and no strong warm-sector advection expected. Official observations through midday align with this range, leaving little room for outliers above 20°C or below 17°C unless unexpected clearing develops before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$48,446Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, driven by persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow that limit daytime solar heating under stable early-autumn conditions. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C, reflecting suppressed insolation rather than unusual cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 18°C and 19°C because recent model runs show only minor variability in afternoon peaks, with low precipitation chances and no strong warm-sector advection expected. Official observations through midday align with this range, leaving little room for outliers above 20°C or below 17°C unless unexpected clearing develops before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$48,446Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 18–19°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, driven by persistent overcast skies and light easterly flow that limit daytime solar heating under stable early-autumn conditions. These values sit below the 1991–2020 average high of 20.5°C, reflecting suppressed insolation rather than unusual cold advection. Market-implied odds heavily favor 18°C and 19°C because recent model runs show only minor variability in afternoon peaks, with low precipitation chances and no strong warm-sector advection expected. Official observations through midday align with this range, leaving little room for outliers above 20°C or below 17°C unless unexpected clearing develops before peak heating.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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