**Mild air mass and limited overnight cooling position the lowest temperature on September 12 around 15–16 °C according to official forecasts.** Environment Canada and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) project a nighttime low near 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14 °C. Clear conditions earlier in the period allowed some radiative cooling, but the prevailing warm advection has prevented deeper drops. Market-implied odds place notable probability on 13–14 °C outcomes, reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if clouds clear more than expected. Warmer scenarios (15 °C+) carry the bulk of the weight because current guidance shows no significant cold front or northerly surge arriving before the minimum is reached. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler tail or consolidate around the current consensus range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 12?
10°C or below 35%
20°C or higher 34%
14°C 33%
13°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
35%
11°C
15%
12°C
24%
13°C
31%
14°C
33%
15°C
20%
16°C
16%
17°C
12%
18°C
6%
19°C
10%
20°C or higher
34%
10°C or below 35%
20°C or higher 34%
14°C 33%
13°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
35%
11°C
$0 Обс.
15%
12°C
$0 Обс.
24%
13°C
$0 Обс.
31%
14°C
$0 Обс.
33%
15°C
$0 Обс.
20%
16°C
$0 Обс.
16%
17°C
$0 Обс.
12%
18°C
$404 Обс.
6%
19°C
$0 Обс.
10%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild air mass and limited overnight cooling position the lowest temperature on September 12 around 15–16 °C according to official forecasts.** Environment Canada and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) project a nighttime low near 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14 °C. Clear conditions earlier in the period allowed some radiative cooling, but the prevailing warm advection has prevented deeper drops.
Market-implied odds place notable probability on 13–14 °C outcomes, reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if clouds clear more than expected. Warmer scenarios (15 °C+) carry the bulk of the weight because current guidance shows no significant cold front or northerly surge arriving before the minimum is reached. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler tail or consolidate around the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$404Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild air mass and limited overnight cooling position the lowest temperature on September 12 around 15–16 °C according to official forecasts.** Environment Canada and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) project a nighttime low near 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14 °C. Clear conditions earlier in the period allowed some radiative cooling, but the prevailing warm advection has prevented deeper drops.
Market-implied odds place notable probability on 13–14 °C outcomes, reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if clouds clear more than expected. Warmer scenarios (15 °C+) carry the bulk of the weight because current guidance shows no significant cold front or northerly surge arriving before the minimum is reached. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler tail or consolidate around the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$404Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Mild air mass and limited overnight cooling position the lowest temperature on September 12 around 15–16 °C according to official forecasts.** Environment Canada and multiple numerical models (GFS-based) project a nighttime low near 15–16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, keeping the minimum well above the historical mid-September average of roughly 13–14 °C. Clear conditions earlier in the period allowed some radiative cooling, but the prevailing warm advection has prevented deeper drops. Market-implied odds place notable probability on 13–14 °C outcomes, reflecting residual model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger cooling if clouds clear more than expected. Warmer scenarios (15 °C+) carry the bulk of the weight because current guidance shows no significant cold front or northerly surge arriving before the minimum is reached. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 12–24 hours will determine whether probabilities shift toward the cooler tail or consolidate around the current consensus range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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