**Persistent high-pressure conditions and southerly flow across north Texas have kept overnight temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance pointing to a minimum near 82°F under clear skies and light south winds of 5–10 mph.** This setup prevents significant radiational cooling, consistent with the seasonal pattern of late-summer warmth where average lows hover around 71°F but recent model runs show sustained values in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this strong alignment across multiple forecast cycles, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift could occur only from an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a late-arriving frontal boundary, though current observations and guidance show no such development before resolution based on official station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
82-83°F 96%
78-79°F 89%
76-77°F 16%
80-81°F 14%
$130 Обс.
$130 Обс.
71°F or below
7%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
89%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
96%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 96%
78-79°F 89%
76-77°F 16%
80-81°F 14%
$130 Обс.
$130 Обс.
71°F or below
7%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
89%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
96%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high-pressure conditions and southerly flow across north Texas have kept overnight temperatures elevated, with official forecasts from sources aligned with NOAA guidance pointing to a minimum near 82°F under clear skies and light south winds of 5–10 mph.** This setup prevents significant radiational cooling, consistent with the seasonal pattern of late-summer warmth where average lows hover around 71°F but recent model runs show sustained values in the upper 70s to low 80s. Trader consensus at 95.5% implied probability for the 82–83°F bin reflects this strong alignment across multiple forecast cycles, with minimal model spread. A realistic shift could occur only from an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a late-arriving frontal boundary, though current observations and guidance show no such development before resolution based on official station data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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