Forecast models from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–14°C on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiational cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights and support the market’s tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes. Urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate extremes, while model consensus shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the 24-hour window. Updated short-range guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 14?
17°C or higher 43%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
38%
13°C
40%
14°C
36%
15°C
35%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
43%
17°C or higher 43%
13°C 40%
15°C 40%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
8°C
$0 Обс.
2%
9°C
$0 Обс.
2%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
39%
12°C
$0 Обс.
38%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$3 Обс.
36%
15°C
$19 Обс.
35%
16°C
$43 Обс.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–14°C on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiational cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights and support the market’s tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes. Urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate extremes, while model consensus shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the 24-hour window. Updated short-range guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–14°C on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiational cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights and support the market’s tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes. Urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate extremes, while model consensus shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the 24-hour window. Updated short-range guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$65Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles indicate overnight lows in Mexico City near 12–14°C on September 14, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds that limit radiational cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. These conditions, typical of the late rainy season, suppress the usual nocturnal temperature drop compared to clearer nights and support the market’s tight clustering around 13–15°C outcomes. Urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate extremes, while model consensus shows minimal divergence in steering patterns or moisture profiles through the 24-hour window. Updated short-range guidance expected from regional agencies will clarify any last adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind speeds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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