Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 13 indicate a high near 30–31°C under clear skies and northerly winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 51.5% implied probability for 31°C. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show dry air masses with dew points dropping below 10°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with historical September climatology where maxima average 26–28°C but can reach the low 30s under similar high-pressure setups. Minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions reduce uncertainty in maximum temperature calculations, while the absence of precipitation or frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational trends from the past 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 13?
31°C 55%
30°C 25%
29°C 11%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
$16,714 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,714 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
55%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 55%
30°C 25%
29°C 11%
32°C 11%
НОВЕ
$16,714 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,714 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
24°C or below
$73 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$339 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$355 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$543 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$938 Обс.
3%
29°C
$2,481 Обс.
11%
30°C
$2,411 Обс.
25%
31°C
$6,107 Обс.
55%
32°C
$2,607 Обс.
11%
33°C
$742 Обс.
1%
34°C or higher
$118 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 13 indicate a high near 30–31°C under clear skies and northerly winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 51.5% implied probability for 31°C. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show dry air masses with dew points dropping below 10°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with historical September climatology where maxima average 26–28°C but can reach the low 30s under similar high-pressure setups. Minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions reduce uncertainty in maximum temperature calculations, while the absence of precipitation or frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational trends from the past 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,714Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 13 indicate a high near 30–31°C under clear skies and northerly winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 51.5% implied probability for 31°C. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show dry air masses with dew points dropping below 10°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with historical September climatology where maxima average 26–28°C but can reach the low 30s under similar high-pressure setups. Minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions reduce uncertainty in maximum temperature calculations, while the absence of precipitation or frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational trends from the past 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,714Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on September 13 indicate a high near 30–31°C under clear skies and northerly winds, establishing the primary driver behind the market's 51.5% implied probability for 31°C. Numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, show dry air masses with dew points dropping below 10°C and light winds limiting mixing, consistent with historical September climatology where maxima average 26–28°C but can reach the low 30s under similar high-pressure setups. Minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions reduce uncertainty in maximum temperature calculations, while the absence of precipitation or frontal passages supports the tight clustering around 30–32°C outcomes. Updated model guidance and observational trends from the past 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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