Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs for Chengdu on September 13 point to a daily maximum near 24–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Seasonal cooling from the East Asian monsoon transition further caps temperatures below late-summer norms, while the basin’s topography traps moisture and moderates extremes. Traders’ tight clustering on 24–26°C reflects this consensus alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C; any late-day clearing or delayed precipitation could push the observed high higher, with the final reading determined by local station data. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 13?
25°C 31%
24°C 25%
26°C 21%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
25%
25°C
31%
26°C
21%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
24°C 25%
26°C 21%
23°C 12%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
25%
25°C
31%
26°C
21%
27°C
8%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs for Chengdu on September 13 point to a daily maximum near 24–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain chances, and light southerly winds that limit daytime heating in the humid Sichuan Basin. Seasonal cooling from the East Asian monsoon transition further caps temperatures below late-summer norms, while the basin’s topography traps moisture and moderates extremes. Traders’ tight clustering on 24–26°C reflects this consensus alongside typical model spread of 1–2°C; any late-day clearing or delayed precipitation could push the observed high higher, with the final reading determined by local station data. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration remains the key near-term catalyst.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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