Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant influence on Hong Kong temperatures for September 11, sustaining northeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and promoting mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. These conditions favor daytime radiative heating, yet the official forecast caps the daily maximum at 31°C amid relatively dry air masses that limit further warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 31°C and 32°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this threshold, with small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing potentially tipping the peak by one degree. Historical September maxima near 30–31°C provide context, but recent dry spells have allowed occasional exceedances, leaving traders sensitive to any late model shifts before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
13%
31°C
41%
32°C
37%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
32°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$265 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$717 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$623 Обс.
2%
30°C
$1,281 Обс.
13%
31°C
$1,147 Обс.
41%
32°C
$2,287 Обс.
37%
33°C
$844 Обс.
9%
34°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$264 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$230 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant influence on Hong Kong temperatures for September 11, sustaining northeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and promoting mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. These conditions favor daytime radiative heating, yet the official forecast caps the daily maximum at 31°C amid relatively dry air masses that limit further warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 31°C and 32°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this threshold, with small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing potentially tipping the peak by one degree. Historical September maxima near 30–31°C provide context, but recent dry spells have allowed occasional exceedances, leaving traders sensitive to any late model shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,107Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant influence on Hong Kong temperatures for September 11, sustaining northeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and promoting mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. These conditions favor daytime radiative heating, yet the official forecast caps the daily maximum at 31°C amid relatively dry air masses that limit further warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 31°C and 32°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this threshold, with small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing potentially tipping the peak by one degree. Historical September maxima near 30–31°C provide context, but recent dry spells have allowed occasional exceedances, leaving traders sensitive to any late model shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$8,107Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow over southern China is the dominant influence on Hong Kong temperatures for September 11, sustaining northeasterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort and promoting mostly sunny skies with low precipitation risk according to Hong Kong Observatory guidance. These conditions favor daytime radiative heating, yet the official forecast caps the daily maximum at 31°C amid relatively dry air masses that limit further warming. Market-implied odds cluster tightly between 31°C and 32°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around this threshold, with small differences in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing potentially tipping the peak by one degree. Historical September maxima near 30–31°C provide context, but recent dry spells have allowed occasional exceedances, leaving traders sensitive to any late model shifts before the observation window closes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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