Trader consensus favors a September 13 high in Hong Kong between 28–30°C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models showing peak readings near the seasonal norm under variable cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or onshore winds able to shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture levels support the market-implied range. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s verified maximum at its primary station, with updated model runs and briefings expected through the evening of the 12th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
29°C 37%
28°C 32%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
$17,225 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,225 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
32%
29°C
37%
30°C
21%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 32%
30°C 21%
31°C 11%
НОВЕ
$17,225 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,225 Обс.
Sep 13, 2026
25°C or below
$538 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$1,199 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$5,178 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5,008 Обс.
32%
29°C
$1,287 Обс.
37%
30°C
$581 Обс.
21%
31°C
$1,391 Обс.
11%
32°C
$676 Обс.
3%
33°C
$629 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$584 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$153 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a September 13 high in Hong Kong between 28–30°C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models showing peak readings near the seasonal norm under variable cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or onshore winds able to shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture levels support the market-implied range. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s verified maximum at its primary station, with updated model runs and briefings expected through the evening of the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,225Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a September 13 high in Hong Kong between 28–30°C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models showing peak readings near the seasonal norm under variable cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or onshore winds able to shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture levels support the market-implied range. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s verified maximum at its primary station, with updated model runs and briefings expected through the evening of the 12th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$17,225Дата завершення
Sep 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a September 13 high in Hong Kong between 28–30°C, driven by short-range ensemble forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models showing peak readings near the seasonal norm under variable cloud cover and moderate southeasterly flow. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty, with small differences in timing of any diurnal heating or onshore winds able to shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and moisture levels support the market-implied range. Official resolution hinges on the Observatory’s verified maximum at its primary station, with updated model runs and briefings expected through the evening of the 12th.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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