Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by typical early-autumn conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks note above-normal seasonal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability hinges on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with clearer periods potentially allowing peaks near 32°C while persistent convection could suppress them toward 29–30°C. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around 31°C and 32°C reflect this narrow range amid model agreement on weak steering patterns and no strong synoptic systems, with updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
29°C 18%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C
28%
32°C
26%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 28%
32°C 26%
29°C 18%
30°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
27°C
$0 Обс.
3%
28°C
$0 Обс.
7%
29°C
$20 Обс.
18%
30°C
$64 Обс.
18%
31°C
$39 Обс.
28%
32°C
$123 Обс.
26%
33°C
$87 Обс.
14%
34°C
$310 Обс.
4%
35°C
$0 Обс.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by typical early-autumn conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks note above-normal seasonal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability hinges on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with clearer periods potentially allowing peaks near 32°C while persistent convection could suppress them toward 29–30°C. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around 31°C and 32°C reflect this narrow range amid model agreement on weak steering patterns and no strong synoptic systems, with updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$642Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by typical early-autumn conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks note above-normal seasonal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability hinges on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with clearer periods potentially allowing peaks near 32°C while persistent convection could suppress them toward 29–30°C. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around 31°C and 32°C reflect this narrow range amid model agreement on weak steering patterns and no strong synoptic systems, with updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$642Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14 most likely between 30–32°C, driven by typical early-autumn conditions featuring high humidity, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official outlooks note above-normal seasonal temperatures overall, yet short-term variability hinges on cloud cover and rainfall timing, with clearer periods potentially allowing peaks near 32°C while persistent convection could suppress them toward 29–30°C. Traders’ closely matched probabilities around 31°C and 32°C reflect this narrow range amid model agreement on weak steering patterns and no strong synoptic systems, with updated Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble runs expected to refine resolution criteria in coming hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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