Recent numerical weather model consensus and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to clear skies, light southerly flow, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting peak daytime heating near 30–31 °C in Busan on September 13. These conditions favor strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 26–28 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by the steering pattern. Final resolution depends on the official maximum temperature recorded at the primary station, with any late-model shifts or localized sea-breeze effects representing the main sources of remaining uncertainty before tomorrow’s observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on September 13?
31°C 51%
30°C 33%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
33%
31°C
51%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 51%
30°C 33%
32°C 10%
29°C 9%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
33%
31°C
51%
32°C
10%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to clear skies, light southerly flow, and a stable high-pressure ridge supporting peak daytime heating near 30–31 °C in Busan on September 13. These conditions favor strong solar insolation with minimal cloud cover and low precipitation risk, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical highs around 26–28 °C, so the current setup reflects above-average warmth driven by the steering pattern. Final resolution depends on the official maximum temperature recorded at the primary station, with any late-model shifts or localized sea-breeze effects representing the main sources of remaining uncertainty before tomorrow’s observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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