Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF equivalents, project a maximum temperature near 27°C in Qingdao on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light southerly to easterly winds following recent cloudy conditions. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and typical September climatology, with average highs of 25–28°C, support this range, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could allow brief excursions to 29°C. Trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments and potential for localized warming under high pressure, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
30°C 46%
29°C 31%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
31%
30°C
46%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
3%
30°C 46%
29°C 31%
31°C 14%
28°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
3%
25°C
$0 Обс.
3%
26°C
$0 Обс.
3%
27°C
$33 Обс.
5%
28°C
$11 Обс.
8%
29°C
$0 Обс.
31%
30°C
$53 Обс.
46%
31°C
$333 Обс.
14%
32°C
$0 Обс.
5%
33°C
$0 Обс.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF equivalents, project a maximum temperature near 27°C in Qingdao on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light southerly to easterly winds following recent cloudy conditions. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and typical September climatology, with average highs of 25–28°C, support this range, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could allow brief excursions to 29°C. Trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments and potential for localized warming under high pressure, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$429Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF equivalents, project a maximum temperature near 27°C in Qingdao on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light southerly to easterly winds following recent cloudy conditions. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and typical September climatology, with average highs of 25–28°C, support this range, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could allow brief excursions to 29°C. Trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments and potential for localized warming under high pressure, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$429Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF equivalents, project a maximum temperature near 27°C in Qingdao on September 14 under mostly clear skies and light southerly to easterly winds following recent cloudy conditions. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and typical September climatology, with average highs of 25–28°C, support this range, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and insolation could allow brief excursions to 29°C. Trader emphasis on 29–31°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in final observational adjustments and potential for localized warming under high pressure, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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