Recent model consensus and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to a high-pressure system dominating the Korean Peninsula on September 11, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. The preceding days’ cooler northerly flow has already lowered daytime readings from late-summer peaks, keeping the thermal profile close to early-September climatology. Updated model runs through the weekend show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though any unexpected increase in insolation or slight wind shift could push readings toward 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 25–26 °C window most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
26°C 43%
25°C 20%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
43%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
26°C 43%
25°C 20%
27°C 15%
24°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
24%
26°C
43%
27°C
15%
28°C
7%
29°C
5%
30°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance point to a high-pressure system dominating the Korean Peninsula on September 11, delivering mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions and light northwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This setup favors a daily maximum near 25–26 °C at Incheon International Airport, aligning with the market’s heaviest positioning on those two outcomes. The preceding days’ cooler northerly flow has already lowered daytime readings from late-summer peaks, keeping the thermal profile close to early-September climatology. Updated model runs through the weekend show little spread in boundary-layer temperatures, though any unexpected increase in insolation or slight wind shift could push readings toward 27 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the narrow 25–26 °C window most heavily ahead of the final observation window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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