Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11 most likely between 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent frontal passage. High humidity and suppressed insolation limit daytime warming, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions rather than rapid changes. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum, with updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C underscore how this cooler, unsettled pattern stands out.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 11?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11?
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
22°C 26%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
29%
21°C
37%
22°C
26%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 37%
20°C 28%
22°C 26%
23°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
15°C or below
$641 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$105 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
3%
19°C
$13 Обс.
6%
20°C
$681 Обс.
29%
21°C
$216 Обс.
37%
22°C
$23 Обс.
26%
23°C
$0 Обс.
7%
24°C
$4 Обс.
3%
25°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11 most likely between 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent frontal passage. High humidity and suppressed insolation limit daytime warming, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions rather than rapid changes. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum, with updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C underscore how this cooler, unsettled pattern stands out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,788Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11 most likely between 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent frontal passage. High humidity and suppressed insolation limit daytime warming, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions rather than rapid changes. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum, with updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C underscore how this cooler, unsettled pattern stands out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,788Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11 most likely between 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air behind a recent frontal passage. High humidity and suppressed insolation limit daytime warming, while the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values reflects trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions rather than rapid changes. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of heaviest precipitation or wind shifts introduce modest uncertainty in the precise maximum, with updated guidance from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency expected to refine the outlook ahead of resolution. Historical September baselines near 27–28°C underscore how this cooler, unsettled pattern stands out.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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