Strong southerly winds and a building high-pressure system are driving cooler air advection into Buenos Aires, with multiple forecast models projecting an overnight low near 5°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling yet sustain the chill. This setup follows a notable early-September cold outbreak that produced a 2.4°C minimum on the 6th, establishing a below-normal baseline for the month. Official guidance from regional models and station data shows temperatures falling through the evening of the 12th, with limited warming expected before dawn. The market-implied 50% probability for 4°C or below captures trader assessment of this cold advection and model consensus, while the spread across 5–9°C options reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and cloud cover impacts on the final reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 12?
4°C or below 94%
5°C 47%
6°C 47%
7°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
94%
5°C
47%
6°C
47%
7°C
46%
8°C
5%
9°C
44%
10°C
7%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
4°C or below 94%
5°C 47%
6°C 47%
7°C 46%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
5°C
$0 Обс.
47%
6°C
$0 Обс.
47%
7°C
$0 Обс.
46%
8°C
$83 Обс.
5%
9°C
$119 Обс.
44%
10°C
$72 Обс.
7%
11°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
14°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds and a building high-pressure system are driving cooler air advection into Buenos Aires, with multiple forecast models projecting an overnight low near 5°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling yet sustain the chill. This setup follows a notable early-September cold outbreak that produced a 2.4°C minimum on the 6th, establishing a below-normal baseline for the month. Official guidance from regional models and station data shows temperatures falling through the evening of the 12th, with limited warming expected before dawn. The market-implied 50% probability for 4°C or below captures trader assessment of this cold advection and model consensus, while the spread across 5–9°C options reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and cloud cover impacts on the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$273Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong southerly winds and a building high-pressure system are driving cooler air advection into Buenos Aires, with multiple forecast models projecting an overnight low near 5°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling yet sustain the chill. This setup follows a notable early-September cold outbreak that produced a 2.4°C minimum on the 6th, establishing a below-normal baseline for the month. Official guidance from regional models and station data shows temperatures falling through the evening of the 12th, with limited warming expected before dawn. The market-implied 50% probability for 4°C or below captures trader assessment of this cold advection and model consensus, while the spread across 5–9°C options reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and cloud cover impacts on the final reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$273Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Strong southerly winds and a building high-pressure system are driving cooler air advection into Buenos Aires, with multiple forecast models projecting an overnight low near 5°C under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling yet sustain the chill. This setup follows a notable early-September cold outbreak that produced a 2.4°C minimum on the 6th, establishing a below-normal baseline for the month. Official guidance from regional models and station data shows temperatures falling through the evening of the 12th, with limited warming expected before dawn. The market-implied 50% probability for 4°C or below captures trader assessment of this cold advection and model consensus, while the spread across 5–9°C options reflects remaining uncertainty in exact minimum timing and cloud cover impacts on the final reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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