**Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major centers, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, have converged on an overnight minimum near 9°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity have kept temperatures aligned with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 10.8°C. Traders have placed overwhelming weight (99.5% implied probability) on the 9°C outcome because these model consensus runs and current surface observations show little room for significant deviation. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected clear skies allowing stronger cooling or a sharp revision in dew-point forecasts; final resolution depends on official station readings once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 10?
9°C 99.4%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,000 Обс.
$1,000 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
99%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.4%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,000 Обс.
$1,000 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$115 Обс.
1%
7°C
$180 Обс.
1%
8°C
$107 Обс.
1%
9°C
$396 Обс.
99%
10°C
$97 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
16°C or higher
$45 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major centers, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, have converged on an overnight minimum near 9°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity have kept temperatures aligned with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 10.8°C. Traders have placed overwhelming weight (99.5% implied probability) on the 9°C outcome because these model consensus runs and current surface observations show little room for significant deviation. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected clear skies allowing stronger cooling or a sharp revision in dew-point forecasts; final resolution depends on official station readings once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,000Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major centers, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, have converged on an overnight minimum near 9°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity have kept temperatures aligned with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 10.8°C. Traders have placed overwhelming weight (99.5% implied probability) on the 9°C outcome because these model consensus runs and current surface observations show little room for significant deviation. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected clear skies allowing stronger cooling or a sharp revision in dew-point forecasts; final resolution depends on official station readings once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,000Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent numerical weather prediction outputs from major centers, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, have converged on an overnight minimum near 9°C for Munich on September 10, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling.** Persistent cloud cover and moderate humidity have kept temperatures aligned with early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is approximately 10.8°C. Traders have placed overwhelming weight (99.5% implied probability) on the 9°C outcome because these model consensus runs and current surface observations show little room for significant deviation. A realistic challenge would require either unexpected clear skies allowing stronger cooling or a sharp revision in dew-point forecasts; final resolution depends on official station readings once the full 24-hour period concludes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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