Forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely near 9–11 °C, driven by light winds, high surface pressure, and overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies that limit heat retention. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 10.6 °C, though recent model runs show slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9 °C and 10 °C because small differences in cloud timing or dew-point depression can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while warmer outcomes above 15 °C would require unexpected southerly advection or reduced cooling. Updated runs ahead of the minimum period will refine this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Munich on September 11?
15°C or higher 52%
5°C or below 46%
9°C 28%
10°C 27%
5°C or below
46%
6°C
3%
7°C
12%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
52%
15°C or higher 52%
5°C or below 46%
9°C 28%
10°C 27%
5°C or below
46%
6°C
3%
7°C
12%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
27%
11°C
21%
12°C
20%
13°C
15%
14°C
15%
15°C or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like DWD and international ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Munich on September 11 most likely near 9–11 °C, driven by light winds, high surface pressure, and overnight radiative cooling under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies that limit heat retention. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology, where the 1991–2020 average low is 10.6 °C, though recent model runs show slight cooling potential from northerly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 9 °C and 10 °C because small differences in cloud timing or dew-point depression can shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while warmer outcomes above 15 °C would require unexpected southerly advection or reduced cooling. Updated runs ahead of the minimum period will refine this narrow range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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