**Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a warming trend in Buenos Aires driven by northerly winds, supporting daytime highs near 20°C on September 10 with overnight lows projected around 11–13°C.** This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as small shifts in wind direction, cloud cover, or the timing of any frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in models like GFS and ECMWF reflect this variability, with some runs favoring clearer, cooler conditions that could dip toward single digits while others keep readings milder. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 10–12°C, but the current post-polar-air recovery adds to the range of plausible outcomes, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between colder and warmer thresholds. Traders will watch the next model updates and official SMN briefings for resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?
6°C or below 78%
16°C or higher 78%
8°C 39%
14°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
78%
7°C
23%
8°C
39%
9°C
27%
10°C
14%
11°C
13%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
39%
15°C
24%
16°C or higher
78%
6°C or below 78%
16°C or higher 78%
8°C 39%
14°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
78%
7°C
$0 Обс.
23%
8°C
$0 Обс.
39%
9°C
$0 Обс.
27%
10°C
$3 Обс.
14%
11°C
$0 Обс.
13%
12°C
$147 Обс.
8%
13°C
$0 Обс.
25%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
24%
16°C or higher
$0 Обс.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a warming trend in Buenos Aires driven by northerly winds, supporting daytime highs near 20°C on September 10 with overnight lows projected around 11–13°C.** This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as small shifts in wind direction, cloud cover, or the timing of any frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in models like GFS and ECMWF reflect this variability, with some runs favoring clearer, cooler conditions that could dip toward single digits while others keep readings milder. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 10–12°C, but the current post-polar-air recovery adds to the range of plausible outcomes, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between colder and warmer thresholds. Traders will watch the next model updates and official SMN briefings for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$150Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a warming trend in Buenos Aires driven by northerly winds, supporting daytime highs near 20°C on September 10 with overnight lows projected around 11–13°C.** This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as small shifts in wind direction, cloud cover, or the timing of any frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in models like GFS and ECMWF reflect this variability, with some runs favoring clearer, cooler conditions that could dip toward single digits while others keep readings milder. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 10–12°C, but the current post-polar-air recovery adds to the range of plausible outcomes, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between colder and warmer thresholds. Traders will watch the next model updates and official SMN briefings for resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$150Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models indicate a warming trend in Buenos Aires driven by northerly winds, supporting daytime highs near 20°C on September 10 with overnight lows projected around 11–13°C.** This setup creates substantial uncertainty in the minimum temperature, as small shifts in wind direction, cloud cover, or the timing of any frontal passage can alter radiative cooling rates and boundary-layer mixing. Ensemble spreads in models like GFS and ECMWF reflect this variability, with some runs favoring clearer, cooler conditions that could dip toward single digits while others keep readings milder. Historical September climatology shows typical minima near 10–12°C, but the current post-polar-air recovery adds to the range of plausible outcomes, explaining why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly between colder and warmer thresholds. Traders will watch the next model updates and official SMN briefings for resolution signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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