Recent meteorological model consensus from regional forecasts points to persistent high-pressure systems and northeasterly winds maintaining mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul through September 11, limiting strong daytime heating and positioning 25°C as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Current observations show daily maxima near 25–28°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September and contributing to the elevated implied probabilities for 25°C and adjacent values. Minor model spreads in peak timing and local urban effects introduce uncertainty that caps stronger convictions for higher thresholds, while upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies could refine resolution expectations ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
19%
25°C
56%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
6%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
3%
25°C 56%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
21°C or below
$157 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$0 Обс.
6%
23°C
$0 Обс.
9%
24°C
$89 Обс.
19%
25°C
$286 Обс.
56%
26°C
$5 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
10%
28°C
$0 Обс.
6%
29°C
$0 Обс.
4%
30°C
$0 Обс.
4%
31°C or higher
$0 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from regional forecasts points to persistent high-pressure systems and northeasterly winds maintaining mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul through September 11, limiting strong daytime heating and positioning 25°C as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Current observations show daily maxima near 25–28°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September and contributing to the elevated implied probabilities for 25°C and adjacent values. Minor model spreads in peak timing and local urban effects introduce uncertainty that caps stronger convictions for higher thresholds, while upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies could refine resolution expectations ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$537Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from regional forecasts points to persistent high-pressure systems and northeasterly winds maintaining mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul through September 11, limiting strong daytime heating and positioning 25°C as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Current observations show daily maxima near 25–28°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September and contributing to the elevated implied probabilities for 25°C and adjacent values. Minor model spreads in peak timing and local urban effects introduce uncertainty that caps stronger convictions for higher thresholds, while upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies could refine resolution expectations ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$537Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from regional forecasts points to persistent high-pressure systems and northeasterly winds maintaining mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul through September 11, limiting strong daytime heating and positioning 25°C as the leading outcome in trader assessments. Current observations show daily maxima near 25–28°C with minimal precipitation risk, aligning with climatological norms for early September and contributing to the elevated implied probabilities for 25°C and adjacent values. Minor model spreads in peak timing and local urban effects introduce uncertainty that caps stronger convictions for higher thresholds, while upcoming official updates from monitoring agencies could refine resolution expectations ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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