Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a mid-80s high for Chicago on June 11 amid building southerly flow and humidity, placing the market's leading 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins in close contention. Key differentiating factors include the moderating influence of Lake Michigan's lake breeze, which can cap afternoon readings by several degrees depending on wind direction and timing, alongside the chance of scattered thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling versus clearer skies permitting stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-June variability near the seasonal normal of roughly 79°F. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on June 11?
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 14.6%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
82-83°F 20%
88-89°F 14.6%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate a mid-80s high for Chicago on June 11 amid building southerly flow and humidity, placing the market's leading 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins in close contention. Key differentiating factors include the moderating influence of Lake Michigan's lake breeze, which can cap afternoon readings by several degrees depending on wind direction and timing, alongside the chance of scattered thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling versus clearer skies permitting stronger solar heating. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these thresholds, consistent with historical early-June variability near the seasonal normal of roughly 79°F. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends will refine resolution criteria before market close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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