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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

27°C 35%

28°C 27%

26°C 24%

25°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

27°C 35%

28°C 27%

26°C 24%

25°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

21°C or below

$320 Обс.

<1%

22°C

$498 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$10 Обс.

2%

24°C

$40 Обс.

2%

25°C

$472 Обс.

9%

26°C

$99 Обс.

24%

27°C

$544 Обс.

35%

28°C

$417 Обс.

27%

29°C

$49 Обс.

8%

30°C

$157 Обс.

5%

31°C or higher

$318 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 2 point to showery conditions with daytime maxima around 28°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the summer monsoon trough limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures compared to clearer summer days. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, updated July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall for August amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet short-term model runs emphasize rainfall that caps highs near the lower end of August climatology. Traders appear to weigh uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity—factors that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C—while discounting rarer scenarios of stronger heating or extreme downpours. Updated numerical weather predictions and any new HKO briefings in the coming days will likely refine these odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,924
Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong on August 2 point to showery conditions with daytime maxima around 28°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 26°C and 29°C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms typical of the summer monsoon trough limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures compared to clearer summer days. Official seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory, updated July 30, calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall for August amid ongoing climate warming trends, yet short-term model runs emphasize rainfall that caps highs near the lower end of August climatology. Traders appear to weigh uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity—factors that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C—while discounting rarer scenarios of stronger heating or extreme downpours. Updated numerical weather predictions and any new HKO briefings in the coming days will likely refine these odds further.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$2,924
Дата завершення
Aug 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Пов'язане

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Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «27°C» з 35%, далі «28°C» з 27%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 31, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?» — «27°C» з 35%. Наступний — «28°C» з 27%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.