Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on July 12?
34°C 42%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 3.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
27%
34°C
42%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 27%
35°C 24%
32°C 3.1%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
27%
34°C
42%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the highest temperature in Karachi on July 12 around 33–34 °C because numerical weather models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance show modest daytime maxima moderated by a typical Arabian Sea breeze and scattered monsoon cloud cover. Historical July averages near 33 °C provide a baseline, yet day-to-day variability remains high due to uncertain sea-breeze strength, low-level moisture, and any short-wave troughs that could suppress onshore flow and allow brief warming to 35 °C or higher. Lower-probability outcomes below 32 °C would require stronger-than-expected cloudiness or rain, while readings of 36 °C or above hinge on rare dry, offshore wind patterns. With only 48 hours until resolution, fresh model runs and official forecasts will dominate price action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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