Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 10?
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 19.3%
33°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
$50,484 Обс.
НОВЕ
$50,484 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
30%
31°C
47%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 30%
32°C 19.3%
33°C 4.5%
НОВЕ
$50,484 Обс.
НОВЕ
$50,484 Обс.
Jul 10, 2026
26°C or below
$1,202 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,073 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5,967 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$4,543 Обс.
2%
30°C
$5,710 Обс.
30%
31°C
$7,217 Обс.
47%
32°C
$4,451 Обс.
19%
33°C
$8,257 Обс.
5%
34°C
$6,615 Обс.
1%
35°C
$1,404 Обс.
<1%
36°C or higher
$3,166 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$50,484Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$50,484Дата завершення
Jul 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to partly cloudy conditions over Tokyo on July 10, supporting maximum temperatures near 30 °C amid the ongoing early-July heatwave. Subtropical high pressure and limited cloud cover favor diurnal heating, yet coastal sea-breeze effects and any increase in afternoon cloudiness could cap the peak at 29 °C or allow a brief push to 31 °C. Ensemble spread in short-range models remains modest but highlights sensitivity to exact timing of cloud build-up and boundary-layer moisture. The market’s tight clustering around 29–31 °C (74 % combined implied probability) reflects this narrow forecast envelope two days out, with resolution hinging on the official JMA observation at the Tokyo station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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