Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on July 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 9?
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$149,038 Обс.
$149,038 Обс.
Jul 9, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$149,038 Обс.
$149,038 Обс.
Jul 9, 2026
75°F or below
$3,179 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,370 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$6,089 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$10,009 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$24,771 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$30,003 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$20,139 Обс.
100%
88-89°F
$24,762 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$11,003 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$6,749 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$9,962 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$149,038Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$149,038Дата завершення
Jul 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 7, 2026, 10:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on mid-80s highs for July 9 in New York City, with 84–87°F capturing over 60% of implied probability, reflecting National Weather Service and model guidance showing a high near 85°F under partly sunny skies with a 40–50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Recent moderation after the early-July heat wave, combined with southwest flow and modest instability, caps intensification while allowing peak readings in the 84–87°F window depending on exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble spread and short-term model updates introduce the narrow differentiation between adjacent bins, as minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or steering could push the daily maximum one or two degrees higher or lower before official Central Park observations finalize the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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