In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Panama City on July 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 11?
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 10%
33°C 7.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
36%
33°C
7%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 29%
30°C 10%
33°C 7.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 11, 2026
25°C or below
$26 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$18 Обс.
1%
28°C
$82 Обс.
2%
29°C
$261 Обс.
4%
30°C
$406 Обс.
10%
31°C
$81 Обс.
29%
32°C
$77 Обс.
36%
33°C
$6 Обс.
7%
34°C
$112 Обс.
5%
35°C or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,103Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,103Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Panama City's tropical wet season, variable afternoon convective cloud cover and rainfall intensity primarily drive uncertainty around the July 11 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustered near 30–32°C reflecting typical July averages of 30–31°C. Reduced insolation from widespread thunderstorms or thicker ITCZ-influenced cloud decks caps daytime peaks by limiting surface heating, while breaks in coverage or lighter winds could allow brief rises toward 33°C or higher, though historical data show such extremes remain uncommon. Model consensus on precipitation timing and sea-surface temperatures near the isthmus will shape final outcomes, with official observations resolving the market based on precise daily maxima.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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