Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 11?
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
7%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
22°C 11%
25°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 11, 2026
19°C or below
$127 Обс.
1%
20°C
$187 Обс.
1%
21°C
$156 Обс.
3%
22°C
$97 Обс.
11%
23°C
$77 Обс.
32%
24°C
$1,682 Обс.
45%
25°C
$733 Обс.
7%
26°C
$233 Обс.
3%
27°C
$367 Обс.
1%
28°C
$574 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,439 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,672Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,672Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seoul's summer nocturnal minimum temperatures hinge on clear-sky radiative cooling, boundary-layer humidity from the East Asian monsoon, and weak synoptic winds that limit mixing. With July climatological lows near 21–24 °C and current model guidance indicating modest cloud cover and light southerly flow for 10–11 July, the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–25 °C reflects uncertainty in the precise magnitude of overnight cooling rather than any dramatic shift in large-scale pattern. Urban heat-island effects and variable precipitation timing can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C from the observed minimum recorded between 03:00–09:00 local time, keeping the 22–26 °C band the focus of trader attention ahead of updated KMA and ensemble forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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