Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 11?
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
35°C 21%
33°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,243 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,243 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
21%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 29%
36°C 22%
35°C 21%
33°C 13%
НОВЕ
$13,243 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,243 Обс.
Jul 11, 2026
29°C or below
$1,974 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,269 Обс.
1%
31°C
$516 Обс.
3%
32°C
$482 Обс.
3%
33°C
$976 Обс.
13%
34°C
$767 Обс.
29%
35°C
$4,168 Обс.
21%
36°C
$506 Обс.
22%
37°C
$661 Обс.
6%
38°C
$452 Обс.
4%
39°C or higher
$1,475 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,243Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,243Дата завершення
Jul 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from sources including the Met Office and timeanddate.com point to a July 11 maximum in the 34–37°C range for Shenzhen, aligning with trader clustering around 34–35°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions. Key differentiators include timing and intensity of afternoon convection tied to South China Sea moisture, cloud cover reducing solar insolation, and urban heat island effects that can add 1–2°C locally. Recent early-July tropical depression activity may leave residual humidity or steering influences, while climatological July averages near 32°C highlight how small shifts in boundary-layer mixing or precipitation suppress or elevate peaks. Updated CMA and ECMWF short-range runs remain the primary near-term catalyst before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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